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Red151
9498.9
48845.6
241240.5
Blue41
498018.2
321918.0
297616.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9954015015141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+90Teleop
+92Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +69
19Coral scored#6
69Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
97Total teleop28
Reef
7L4#2
8L3#2
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +110
18Foul points0
151Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
45.61.0
42.943.9
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
red by 27.3
4980
#20
18.20.3
18.918.6
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Second
40.51.0
37.838.8
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
red by 22.5
3219
#12
18.00.3
18.618.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
Third
949
#31
8.91.0
6.27.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 7.9
2976
#21
16.80.3
17.417.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7