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Red103
582736.3
491534.1
418020.1
Blue75
307031.3
189927.3
129419.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97795015010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
72Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
103Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.2
35.936.0
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
red by 5.0
3070
#16
31.30.0
31.231.1
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
Second
34.10.2
33.733.8
Auto7.7
Teleop25.4
End0.9
red by 6.8
1899
#11
27.30.0
27.127.1
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
4180
#22
20.10.2
19.719.9
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 1.2
1294
#19
19.00.0
18.818.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3