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Red64
803217.5
824812.3
903626.2
Blue118
94841.5
491819.4
49231.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5398020408012014016064118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +37
8Coral scored#17
29Coral points60
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
41Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points8
64Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#17
26.20.2
26.126.2
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
blue by 15.2
948
#10
41.50.5
39.540.0
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
Second
8032
#15
17.50.2
17.317.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
blue by 14.4
492
#6
31.90.5
29.930.4
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
Third
8248
#13
12.30.2
12.112.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.5
blue by 7.2
4918
#26
19.40.5
17.418.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0