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Red40
297616.8
321918.0
498018.2
Blue104
307031.3
189927.3
129419.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5588020408010012014040104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+68
Endgame+58
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +62
3Coral scored#15
9Coral points55
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
17Total teleop79
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points6
40Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#20
18.20.3
18.618.2
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End2.3
blue by 13.1
3070
#16
31.30.5
31.131.6
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
Second
3219
#12
18.00.3
18.318.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
blue by 9.3
1899
#11
27.30.5
27.127.5
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
2976
#21
16.80.3
17.116.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 2.2
1294
#19
19.00.5
18.819.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3