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Red81
368129.5
198323.5
902337.6
Blue89
307031.3
189927.3
129419.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9981501502008189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
58Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points6
81Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.2
37.837.6
Auto6.2
Teleop29.6
End1.9
red by 6.3
3070
#16
31.30.1
31.631.7
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
Second
29.50.2
29.829.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
red by 2.3
1899
#11
27.30.1
27.527.6
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
1983
#24
23.50.2
23.823.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End1.7
red by 4.6
1294
#19
19.00.1
19.219.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End3.3