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Red105
418020.1
491534.1
582736.3
Blue122
94841.5
491819.4
49231.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9394607080100110120130105122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
20Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +31
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
63Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +17
8Foul points2
105Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.2
36.136.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
blue by 5.2
948
#10
41.50.7
40.040.7
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
Second
34.10.2
33.934.1
Auto7.7
Teleop25.4
End0.9
red by 2.2
492
#6
31.90.7
30.431.1
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
Third
4180
#22
20.10.2
20.020.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 0.7
4918
#26
19.40.7
18.018.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0