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Red165
204652.1
382628.8
177870.8
Blue142
293053.2
491815.3
945053.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581266080100140180200220165142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+43Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +43
30Coral scored#18
109Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
133Total teleop90
Reef
11L4#7
9L3#8
10L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
165Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.4
69.970.3
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
red by 17.6
53.20.5
52.953.4
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
Second
52.10.4
51.351.6
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
blue by 1.0
53.10.5
52.953.3
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
Third
3826
#19
28.80.4
28.028.3
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
red by 13.5
4918
#18
15.30.5
15.115.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5