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Red111
382628.8
292916.1
945053.1
Blue142
321839.2
177870.8
446946.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531120100150111142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+33
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
4Coral scored#9
20Coral points44
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#17
46Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
74Total teleop92
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#8
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#32
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points0
111Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.15.0
23.128.1
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
blue by 17.6
70.83.9
37.941.8
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
Second
3826
#19
28.85.0
19.424.4
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
blue by 17.5
46.43.9
24.728.7
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
Third
2929
#33
16.15.0
10.915.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 23.0
39.23.9
32.336.2
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed