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Red102
445023.3
204652.1
252238.8
Blue44
468217.7
607616.5
491815.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1247105010015010244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+62Teleop
+60Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#3
50Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
60Total teleop22
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
8Foul points10
102Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.11.4
41.540.2
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
red by 34.4
4682
#29
17.73.9
29.025.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Second
38.81.4
34.232.9
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
red by 22.3
6076
#20
16.53.9
16.812.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Third
4450
#13
23.31.4
30.629.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
red by 8.0
4918
#18
15.33.9
23.219.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned