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Red96
293053.2
968015.8
36047.1
Blue22
413121.7
558813.2
298021.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036202040801201401609622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+64Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
50Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
96Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.8
36.737.5
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
red by 31.4
4131
#11
21.74.1
21.517.4
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Second
360
#7
47.10.8
35.436.2
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
red by 25.9
2980
#30
21.24.1
22.518.4
Auto3.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
Third
9680
#22
15.80.8
16.317.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
red by 2.6
5588
#28
13.24.1
14.810.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed