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Red58
1041624.5
451219.4
491131.2
Blue75
762725.3
944252.8
746119.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610402040801201401605875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+31
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +30
5Coral scored#10
19Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
25Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#17
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
14Foul points0
58Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#25
31.22.3
27.425.2
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
blue by 21.6
9442
#12
52.81.8
37.135.4
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
Second
24.52.3
18.516.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End3.3
blue by 0.7
7627
#23
25.31.8
24.322.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Third
4512
#31
19.42.3
18.416.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 0.2
7461
#21
19.21.8
29.627.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed