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Red13
417317.6
594116.2
408931.7
Blue47
131842.6
1049818.4
290323.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68702030405060801347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
3Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
13Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#14
31.75.4
18.913.5
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
blue by 11.0
42.61.7
33.832.0
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
Second
4173
#27
17.65.4
19.213.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 6.1
2903
#17
23.71.7
14.913.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3
Third
5941
#32
16.25.4
23.618.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.3
blue by 2.3
18.41.7
13.912.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed