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Red100
582730.2
252238.8
36047.1
Blue68
1007929.1
339314.8
468217.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11257010015010068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points4
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
59Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
100Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#7
47.10.7
34.735.4
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
red by 18.0
29.11.3
17.318.6
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
Second
38.80.7
33.534.2
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
red by 21.1
4682
#29
17.71.3
27.729.0
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Third
5827
#16
30.20.7
25.426.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
red by 15.4
3393
#26
14.81.3
11.212.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed