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Red83
944252.8
491131.2
607616.5
Blue90
1041624.5
177870.8
746119.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929670801001108390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
73Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
83Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.80.3
36.937.1
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
blue by 18.0
70.80.7
37.237.9
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
Second
4911
#25
31.20.3
27.227.4
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
red by 6.6
24.522.2
40.718.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End3.3
Third
6076
#20
16.50.3
16.616.8
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End1.5
blue by 2.7
7461
#21
19.20.7
28.929.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed