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Red105
746119.2
558813.2
944252.8
Blue115
417317.6
339314.8
177870.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826602040100120140105115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+24
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
71Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#27
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
14Foul points0
105Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.81.5
38.539.9
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
blue by 18.0
70.85.2
43.248.3
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
Second
7461
#21
19.21.5
23.424.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
red by 1.6
4173
#27
17.65.2
11.216.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Third
5588
#28
13.21.5
10.712.2
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 1.6
3393
#26
14.85.2
8.213.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed