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Qual 192025 PNW District Glacier Peak Event
Red130
204652.1
382628.8
36047.1
Blue95
131842.6
293053.2
445023.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711070809010012013014015013095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#12
66Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
84Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
130Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#6
52.13.6
40.1→43.7
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
blue by 1.0
2930
#3
53.20.2
37.5→37.3
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
Second
360
#7
47.13.6
36.1→39.7
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
red by 4.5
1318
#4
42.60.2
35.1→35.0
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
Third
3826
#19
28.83.6
21.5→25.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
red by 5.5
4450
#13
23.30.2
24.0→23.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned