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Red66
594116.2
491131.2
446946.4
Blue70
607616.5
582730.2
1041624.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions974401506670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points24
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
39Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
66Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.41.7
31.830.0
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
red by 16.2
5827
#16
30.22.7
21.724.4
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Second
4911
#25
31.21.7
31.830.0
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
red by 6.6
24.52.7
16.118.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End3.3
Third
5941
#32
16.21.7
18.116.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.3
blue by 0.3
6076
#20
16.52.7
7.710.4
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed