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Red65
413121.7
762725.3
491815.3
Blue28
292916.1
1007929.1
968015.8
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605401001502002506528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +21
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
39Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points2
65Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7627
#23
25.30.8
20.920.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
blue by 3.8
29.13.9
18.614.7
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
Second
4131
#11
21.70.8
17.316.5
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 5.6
2929
#33
16.13.9
17.213.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
4918
#18
15.30.8
16.515.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 0.5
9680
#22
15.83.9
14.610.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed