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Qual 222025 PNW District Glacier Peak Event
Red112
321839.2
290323.7
252238.8
Blue79
408931.7
298021.2
451219.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9557020408012014016011279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
76Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
112Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#8
39.21.5
31.0→32.5
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 7.5
4089
#14
31.70.9
20.1→21.0
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Second
2522
#5
38.81.5
36.5→38.0
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
red by 17.7
2980
#30
21.20.9
22.1→23.0
Auto3.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
Third
2903
#17
23.71.5
13.2→14.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3
red by 4.3
4512
#31
19.40.9
13.3→14.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed