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Red54
445023.3
468217.7
417317.6
Blue126
177870.8
382628.8
491131.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511905010015020054126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+98
Endgame+96
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +74
4Coral scored#19
14Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
20Total teleop94
Reef
1L4#9
2L3#8
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
24Foul points0
54Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#13
23.34.2
23.819.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 47.4
70.82.2
48.350.6
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
Second
4682
#29
17.74.2
24.820.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
blue by 13.5
4911
#25
31.22.2
30.032.2
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
Third
4173
#27
17.64.2
16.412.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 11.2
3826
#19
28.82.2
25.127.3
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed