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Qual 242025 PNW District Glacier Peak Event
Red88
558813.2
36047.1
446946.4
Blue89
968015.8
944252.8
491815.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947302040601201401608889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +28
8Coral scored#14
27Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
39Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
88Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#7
47.10.0
39.7→39.7
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
blue by 5.7
9442
#12
52.82.5
39.9→42.4
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
Second
4469
#9
46.40.0
30.0→30.0
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
red by 30.6
9680
#22
15.82.5
10.7→13.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
5588
#28
13.20.0
12.2→12.2
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 2.1
4918
#18
15.32.5
15.7→18.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed