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Red45
582730.2
292916.1
298021.2
Blue63
746119.2
413121.7
204652.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659602040801201404563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
35Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
45Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#16
30.21.7
24.422.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
blue by 21.9
52.12.5
43.741.2
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
Second
2980
#30
21.21.7
23.021.2
Auto3.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
blue by 0.5
4131
#11
21.72.5
16.514.1
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Third
2929
#33
16.11.7
13.311.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 3.0
7461
#21
19.22.5
24.922.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed