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Red100
290323.7
293053.2
1041624.5
Blue111
408931.7
339314.8
321839.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10689406080100120140160100111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
58Total teleop85
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
100Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.1
48.849.9
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
red by 14.0
39.22.6
35.938.5
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Second
24.51.2
20.621.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End3.3
blue by 7.1
4089
#14
31.72.6
27.530.1
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Third
2903
#17
23.71.1
18.019.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3
red by 8.9
3393
#26
14.82.8
12.615.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed