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Red116
131842.6
945053.1
1007929.1
Blue86
594116.2
252238.8
451219.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101722040608012014016011686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+32Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
65Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
12Foul points14
116Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.8
38.440.1
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
red by 14.3
38.80.4
38.038.4
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Second
42.61.8
35.036.7
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
red by 23.2
4512
#31
19.40.4
14.114.5
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
29.11.8
14.716.5
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
red by 12.9
5941
#32
16.20.4
16.416.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed