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Red75
413121.7
594116.2
131842.6
Blue90
468217.7
491131.2
293053.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7099204060801201401607590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
53Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points12
75Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.2
36.736.9
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
blue by 10.5
53.21.4
37.336.0
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
Second
4131
#11
21.70.2
14.114.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
blue by 9.5
4911
#25
31.21.4
32.230.9
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
Third
5941
#32
16.20.2
16.816.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.3
blue by 1.5
4682
#29
17.71.4
20.619.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned