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Qual 312025 PNW District Glacier Peak Event
Red45
451219.4
746119.2
290323.7
Blue80
252238.8
968015.8
607616.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577820401001201404580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
45Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2903
#17
23.70.7
14.7→13.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3
blue by 15.1
2522
#5
38.81.3
38.4→39.7
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Second
4512
#31
19.40.7
14.5→13.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 2.9
6076
#20
16.51.3
16.3→17.7
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Third
7461
#21
19.20.7
22.4→21.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
red by 3.4
9680
#22
15.81.3
13.2→14.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed