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Red83
491815.3
1007929.1
408931.7
Blue106
382628.8
1049818.4
944252.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5697015083106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+31
Endgame+37
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
57Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
14Foul points0
83Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#14
31.71.2
21.022.1
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
blue by 21.1
9442
#12
52.82.2
42.444.6
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
Second
29.11.2
16.517.6
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
red by 0.3
3826
#19
28.82.2
27.329.5
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
Third
4918
#18
15.31.2
18.219.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 3.1
18.42.2
13.916.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed