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Red65
468217.7
204652.1
968015.8
Blue170
293053.2
1007929.1
177870.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761235010015020065170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+93
Endgame+103
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +69
9Coral scored#23
31Coral points84
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
45Total teleop114
Reef
6L4#15
2L3#8
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points2
65Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.11.2
41.940.7
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
blue by 18.6
70.86.4
56.462.9
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
Second
4682
#29
17.71.2
19.318.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
blue by 35.4
53.26.4
36.042.4
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
Third
9680
#22
15.81.2
14.613.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 13.3
29.16.4
17.624.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned