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Red66
382628.8
594116.2
582730.2
Blue87
36047.1
607616.5
408931.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7088204060801001201406687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +33
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
41Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
66Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#16
30.20.6
22.221.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
blue by 16.9
360
#7
47.10.3
41.842.1
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
Second
3826
#19
28.80.6
29.528.9
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
blue by 2.9
4089
#14
31.70.3
22.122.4
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Third
5941
#32
16.20.6
16.916.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.3
blue by 0.3
6076
#20
16.50.3
17.718.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed