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Red30
1049818.4
445023.3
558813.2
Blue106
945053.1
321839.2
451219.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52111010015030106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+66
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +55
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
12Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
30Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#13
23.32.6
19.116.4
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 29.8
53.11.0
43.644.7
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
Second
18.42.6
16.113.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.7
blue by 20.7
39.21.0
33.234.2
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Third
5588
#28
13.22.6
15.713.0
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 6.2
4512
#31
19.41.0
13.814.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned