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Red83
298021.2
491815.3
131842.6
Blue64
491131.2
417317.6
762725.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89700204060801001201408364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
+1Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
45Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
18Foul points0
83Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.62.2
36.934.7
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
red by 11.4
4911
#25
31.21.0
30.929.9
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
Second
2980
#30
21.22.2
23.621.3
Auto3.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
blue by 4.1
7627
#23
25.31.0
21.920.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Third
4918
#18
15.32.2
19.317.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 2.3
4173
#27
17.61.0
14.213.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed