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Red107
944252.8
1041624.5
468217.7
Blue32
339314.8
968015.8
413121.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9345020608010012014010732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+77Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +76
16Coral scored#4
58Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
12Processor points0
20Net points0
32Algae points0
90Total teleop14
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
107Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.82.5
44.647.1
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
red by 31.0
4131
#11
21.71.9
17.615.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Second
24.52.5
19.622.0
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End3.3
red by 8.7
9680
#22
15.81.9
13.411.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
4682
#29
17.72.3
18.120.4
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 2.9
3393
#26
14.82.1
16.814.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed