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Red84
298021.2
417317.6
321839.2
Blue110
968015.8
582730.2
945053.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7993406010012014084110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+18
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
62Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
84Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.6
33.534.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
blue by 14.0
53.12.1
44.446.5
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
Second
2980
#30
21.20.5
19.319.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
blue by 9.0
5827
#16
30.22.1
24.927.0
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Third
4173
#27
17.60.5
16.617.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 1.8
9680
#22
15.82.1
11.413.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned