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Red67
491131.2
290323.7
339314.8
Blue84
204652.1
491815.3
558813.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648420401001201406784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points0
67Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#25
31.20.0
30.530.6
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
blue by 20.9
52.10.9
44.044.9
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
Second
2903
#17
23.70.0
17.817.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3
red by 8.4
4918
#18
15.30.9
16.917.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
Third
3393
#26
14.80.0
12.612.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 1.6
5588
#28
13.20.9
13.714.6
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed