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Red100
382628.8
468217.7
131842.6
Blue58
1049818.4
1041624.5
292916.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9838020608012014016010058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+16Teleop
+24Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
55Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
18Foul points0
100Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.2
35.334.2
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
red by 18.1
24.50.8
19.920.6
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End3.3
Second
3826
#19
28.81.2
29.328.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
red by 10.4
18.40.7
12.713.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Third
4682
#29
17.71.2
20.419.2
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 1.6
2929
#33
16.10.7
10.110.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned3%Barge oddsMissed