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Red141
290323.7
408931.7
177870.8
Blue29
558813.2
468217.7
582730.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13058010015020014129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+76Teleop
+84Endgame
+112Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +66
12Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
66Total teleop0
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#3
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +112
28Foul points0
141Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.2
65.966.1
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
red by 40.6
5827
#16
30.22.8
27.024.2
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Second
4089
#14
31.70.2
27.327.5
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
red by 14.0
4682
#29
17.72.8
19.216.4
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Third
2903
#17
23.70.2
17.818.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3
red by 10.5
5588
#28
13.22.8
14.611.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed