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Red87
746119.2
382628.8
1007929.1
Blue118
321839.2
762725.3
131842.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7910720406010012014087118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+37
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
66Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points0
87Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.2
24.925.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
blue by 13.5
42.61.7
34.235.9
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
Second
3826
#19
28.80.2
28.128.4
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
blue by 10.3
39.21.9
34.035.9
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Third
7461
#21
19.20.2
17.417.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
blue by 6.1
7627
#23
25.31.7
21.223.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned