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Red129
204652.1
944252.8
292916.1
Blue147
945053.1
36047.1
1049818.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071098090100120130140129147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
+14Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave3
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points40
23Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +34
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
100Total teleop66
Reef
10L4#9
4L3#5
8L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points14
129Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.82.4
46.248.6
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
blue by 0.4
53.12.6
46.549.0
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
Second
52.12.4
44.947.3
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
red by 5.0
360
#7
47.12.6
44.446.9
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
Third
2929
#33
16.12.4
10.913.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 2.3
18.42.6
13.416.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned