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Red86
746119.2
446946.4
468217.7
Blue109
558813.2
762725.3
293053.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849220406010012014016086109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#15
35Coral points55
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
57Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
86Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.7
43.444.1
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
blue by 6.8
53.22.0
49.951.9
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
Second
7461
#21
19.20.7
17.718.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
blue by 6.1
7627
#23
25.32.0
23.024.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Third
4682
#29
17.70.7
16.417.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 4.5
5588
#28
13.22.0
11.813.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned