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Qual 612025 PNW District Glacier Peak Event
Red142
321839.2
413121.7
944252.8
Blue93
607616.5
762725.3
204652.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124101608014016018014293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+49Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
101Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#5
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
14Foul points0
142Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.81.3
48.9→50.3
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
red by 0.6
2046
#6
52.10.1
50.9→50.8
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
Second
3218
#8
39.21.5
38.5→40.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 13.9
7627
#23
25.30.1
24.9→24.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Third
4131
#11
21.71.5
19.6→21.0
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 5.2
6076
#20
16.50.2
16.4→16.3
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed