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Red63
417317.6
252238.8
558813.2
Blue88
292916.1
293053.2
607616.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779402040601201401606388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
38Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
63Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.80.6
38.938.3
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
blue by 14.3
53.20.3
51.952.1
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
Second
4173
#27
17.60.6
18.217.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 1.1
6076
#20
16.50.3
16.316.5
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Third
5588
#28
13.20.6
13.813.2
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 3.0
2929
#33
16.10.3
13.413.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned