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Red145
177870.8
945053.1
413121.7
Blue52
339314.8
445023.3
491815.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16646010015020025014552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+99Teleop
+101Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +92
15Coral scored#5
55Coral points17
5Processor algae#0
7Net algae#1
30Processor points0
28Net points4
58Algae points4
113Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
0Foul points8
145Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.2
69.269.4
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
red by 47.4
4450
#13
23.30.8
23.723.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Second
53.10.2
51.952.1
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
red by 37.8
4918
#18
15.30.8
15.114.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
Third
4131
#11
21.70.2
21.021.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 6.9
3393
#26
14.80.8
15.514.8
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned