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Red71
968015.8
382628.8
321839.2
Blue77
491131.2
1049818.4
746119.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10071204060801201401601807177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
71Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.21.1
40.038.9
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 8.0
4911
#25
31.20.8
29.930.7
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
Second
3826
#19
28.81.1
28.527.5
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
red by 9.6
7461
#21
19.20.8
18.419.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Third
9680
#22
15.81.1
16.915.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 2.6
18.40.8
17.618.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed