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Red172
204652.1
382628.8
177870.8
Blue99
445023.3
408931.7
1007929.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161815010020025017299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+69Teleop
+65Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points11
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +59
23Coral scored#17
84Coral points61
2Processor algae#0
9Net algae#3
12Processor points0
36Net points12
48Algae points12
132Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#10
11L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +73
8Foul points0
172Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.4
69.469.8
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
red by 39.1
4089
#14
31.70.4
31.331.7
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Second
52.10.4
50.851.1
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
red by 23.0
29.10.4
28.829.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
Third
3826
#19
28.80.4
27.527.8
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
red by 5.5
4450
#13
23.30.4
23.023.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9