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Red134
451219.4
36047.1
252238.8
Blue127
321839.2
290323.7
446946.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512050100150200134127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+23Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
18Coral scored#18
65Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
93Total teleop98
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#4
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
134Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#7
47.10.5
46.647.1
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
red by 0.7
46.40.1
46.146.2
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
Second
38.80.5
38.338.9
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
blue by 0.3
39.20.1
38.939.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Third
4512
#31
19.40.5
18.919.5
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
blue by 4.3
2903
#17
23.70.1
23.423.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3