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Red152
293053.2
491815.3
945053.1
Blue80
413121.7
762725.3
491131.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136775010015020015280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+52Teleop
+62Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
79Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +72
10Foul points0
152Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.5
52.152.7
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
red by 22.0
4911
#25
31.20.1
30.730.8
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
Second
53.10.5
52.152.6
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
red by 27.8
7627
#23
25.30.1
24.824.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Third
4918
#18
15.30.5
14.314.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 6.4
4131
#11
21.70.1
21.221.3
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7