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Red134
131842.6
292916.1
944252.8
Blue77
1041624.5
594116.2
582730.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1176605010015020013477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+49Teleop
+51Endgame
+57Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +49
20Coral scored#11
71Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
99Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +57
6Foul points0
134Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.80.5
50.350.8
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
red by 22.6
5827
#16
30.20.2
29.829.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Second
42.60.5
40.140.7
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
red by 18.1
24.50.2
24.124.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End3.3
Third
2929
#33
16.10.5
13.614.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Level
5941
#32
16.20.2
15.815.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.3