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Red84
445023.3
408931.7
1007929.1
Blue115
321839.2
290323.7
446946.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921235015020084115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+19
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
12Processor points6
4Net points20
16Algae points26
63Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
84Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#14
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
blue by 14.7
46.40.1
46.246.2
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
Second
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
blue by 10.1
39.20.1
39.039.1
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Third
4450
#13
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 0.4
2903
#17
23.70.1
23.523.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3