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Red90
413121.7
762725.3
491131.2
Blue84
1041624.5
594116.2
582730.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837402040601001201401609084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
66Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
90Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#25
31.20.1
30.830.9
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
red by 1.0
5827
#16
30.20.2
29.930.2
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Second
7627
#23
25.30.1
24.925.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
red by 0.7
24.50.2
24.324.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End3.3
Third
4131
#11
21.70.1
21.321.4
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 5.5
5941
#32
16.20.2
15.916.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.3