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Red151
204652.1
382628.8
177870.8
Blue110
36047.1
451219.4
252238.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15810650200250151110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+39Teleop
+43Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
24Coral scored#16
87Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
115Total teleop83
Reef
13L4#8
9L3#7
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points2
151Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.1
69.869.8
Auto15.9
Teleop53.6
End1.3
red by 23.7
360
#7
47.10.1
47.147.2
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
Second
52.10.1
51.151.2
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
red by 13.3
38.80.1
38.938.9
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Third
3826
#19
28.80.1
27.827.9
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End2.6
red by 9.4
4512
#31
19.40.1
19.519.5
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7